ASML vs TSLA: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ASML Holding N.V. and Tesla, Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-04-22.
ASML Holding N.V. · Technology
$1,458.97
+65.1% upside to fair value
Grade B
High Quality
VS
Tesla, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical
$343.23
-5.3% upside to fair value
Low Conviction
Grade D
QuantHub Verdict
ASML has more upside to fair value
(+65.1%).
ASML trades at a lower forward P/E
(48.3x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
ASML |
TSLA |
| Current Price |
$1,458.97 |
$343.23 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$2,408.73 |
$325.00 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+65.1%
|
-5.3%
|
| Market Cap |
$562.3B |
$1,287.9B |
| Forward P/E |
48.3x
|
205.5x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
37.6x
|
108.8x
|
| Price / Sales |
14.4x
|
13.6x
|
| Price / FCF |
54.4x
|
207.1x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+13.2%
|
-2.9%
|
| Gross Margin |
52.6%
|
18.0%
|
| Operating Margin |
34.8%
|
4.6%
|
| Return on Equity |
52.0%
|
4.8%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
1.84%
|
0.48%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
—
|
Investment Thesis
ASML Holding N.V. is a leading technology company specializing in semiconductor manufacturing equipment, particularly extreme ultraviolet lithography machines which hold a near-monopoly position. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat driven by its technological leadership, high barriers to entry, and strong demand from semiconductor manufacturers globally, especially in China. Desp…
Tesla remains the most polarizing stock in markets. The core auto business is deteriorating: FY2025 revenue fell 2.9% to $94.8B, net income dropped 46.8% to $3.8B, and Q4 deliveries declined 15.6% YoY to 418K units. Yet the stock trades at 13.6x TTM P/S (near 5yr highs) on the optionality of Cybercab robotaxis launching April 2026, FSD reaching unsupervised status in Austin, and Optimus humanoid …
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
ASML |
TSLA |
| Zone Low |
$1,806.55 |
$244.00 |
| Zone High |
$2,047.42 |
$276.00 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
No
|