ASML vs TSLA: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ASML Holding N.V. and Tesla, Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-04-22.
ASML Holding N.V. · Technology
$1,458.97
+45.0% upside to fair value
Grade B
High Quality
VS
Tesla, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical
$387.51
-45.0% upside to fair value
Grade D
QuantHub Verdict
ASML has more upside to fair value
(+45.0%).
ASML trades at a lower forward P/E
(48.3x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
ASML |
TSLA |
| Current Price |
$1,458.97 |
$387.51 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$2,115.51 |
$213.13 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+45.0%
|
-45.0%
|
| Market Cap |
$562.3B |
$1,454.1B |
| Forward P/E |
48.3x
|
330.0x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
37.6x
|
122.9x
|
| Price / Sales |
14.4x
|
15.3x
|
| Price / FCF |
54.4x
|
233.8x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+13.2%
|
-3.1%
|
| Gross Margin |
52.6%
|
18.0%
|
| Operating Margin |
34.8%
|
4.6%
|
| Return on Equity |
52.0%
|
4.8%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
1.84%
|
0.43%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Hold
|
Investment Thesis
ASML Holding N.V. is a leading technology company specializing in semiconductor manufacturing equipment, particularly extreme ultraviolet lithography machines which hold a near-monopoly position. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat driven by its technological leadership, high barriers to entry, and strong demand from semiconductor manufacturers globally, especially in China. Desp…
Tesla, Inc. is a leading global manufacturer of electric vehicles, energy storage, and solar products, led by CEO Elon Musk since 2008. The company has a mixed business quality profile with a strong brand and innovation leadership but faces significant challenges including declining automotive revenue, which fell nearly 10% year-over-year in 2025, and a 3.1% revenue decline in the most recent qua…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
ASML |
TSLA |
| Zone Low |
$1,586.63 |
$159.85 |
| Zone High |
$1,798.18 |
$181.16 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
No
|