ASML vs SMCI: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of ASML Holding N.V. and Super Micro Computer, Inc. β€” fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-05-07.
ASML Holding N.V. Β· Technology
$1,458.97
+45.0% upside to fair value
Grade B High Quality
VS
Super Micro Computer, Inc. Β· Technology
$34.66
+45.0% upside to fair value
Grade B High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
SMCI trades at a lower forward P/E (11.6x). These are model outputs β€” not personalized investment advice. See all research β†’
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric ASML SMCI
Current Price $1,458.97 $34.66
Fair Value Estimate $2,115.51 $50.26
Upside to Fair Value +45.0% +45.0%
Market Cap $562.3B $20.8B
Forward P/E 48.3x 11.6x
EV / EBITDA 37.6x 17.9x
Price / Sales 14.4x 0.6x
Price / FCF 54.4x -3.0x
Revenue Growth YoY +13.2% +122.7%
Gross Margin 52.6% 8.4%
Operating Margin 34.8% 4.5%
Return on Equity 52.0% 26.0%
Dividend Yield 0% 0%
FCF Yield 1.84% β€”
Analyst Consensus Strong Buy Hold
Investment Thesis
ASML β€” ASML Holding N.V.
ASML Holding N.V. is a leading technology company specializing in semiconductor manufacturing equipment, particularly extreme ultraviolet lithography machines which hold a near-monopoly position. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat driven by its technological leadership, high barriers to entry, and strong demand from semiconductor manufacturers globally, especially in China. Desp…
SMCI β€” Super Micro Computer, Inc.
Super Micro Computer, Inc. is a technology company specializing in server and storage systems, with a dominant 97% revenue share from this segment driven by AI and cloud infrastructure demand. The company benefits from a founder-led management team with deep engineering expertise and strong insider ownership of approximately 46-48%, aligning interests with shareholders. Despite explosive revenue …
Accumulation Zones
Metric ASML SMCI
Zone Low $1,586.63 $37.70
Zone High $1,798.18 $42.72
In Buy Zone? Yes Yes
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