ASML vs PLTR: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of ASML Holding N.V. and Palantir Technologies Inc. β€” fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-04-22.
ASML Holding N.V. Β· Technology
$1,458.97
+65.1% upside to fair value
Grade B High Quality
VS
Palantir Technologies Inc. Β· Technology
$142.76
-24.3% upside to fair value
Med Conviction Grade C
QuantHub Verdict
ASML has more upside to fair value (+65.1%). ASML trades at a lower forward P/E (48.3x). These are model outputs β€” not personalized investment advice. See all research β†’
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric ASML PLTR
Current Price $1,458.97 $142.76
Fair Value Estimate $2,408.73 $108.00
Upside to Fair Value +65.1% -24.3%
Market Cap $562.3B $327.1B
Forward P/E 48.3x 209.7x
EV / EBITDA 37.6x β€”
Price / Sales 14.4x 73.1x
Price / FCF 54.4x 155.7x
Revenue Growth YoY +13.2% +19.1%
Gross Margin 52.6% 82.4%
Operating Margin 34.8% 31.6%
Return on Equity 52.0% 25.7%
Dividend Yield 0% β€”
FCF Yield 1.84% 0.6%
Analyst Consensus Strong Buy Buy
Investment Thesis
ASML β€” ASML Holding N.V.
ASML Holding N.V. is a leading technology company specializing in semiconductor manufacturing equipment, particularly extreme ultraviolet lithography machines which hold a near-monopoly position. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat driven by its technological leadership, high barriers to entry, and strong demand from semiconductor manufacturers globally, especially in China. Desp…
PLTR β€” Palantir Technologies Inc.
Palantir Technologies develops data analytics and AI software platforms like Gotham and Foundry for government and commercial clients. The business excels with high margins (gross 82.4%, net 36.3%), accelerating growth (Q4 FY2025 revenue up 70% YoY to $1.41B, 2026 guidance $7.19B implying 61% growth), and strong moats in defense and enterprise AI, but trades expensively at 73x P/S versus 5-year m…
Accumulation Zones
Metric ASML PLTR
Zone Low $1,806.55 $81.00
Zone High $2,047.42 $92.00
In Buy Zone? Yes No
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