ASML vs NBIS: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ASML Holding N.V. and Nebius Group N.V. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-08-06.
ASML Holding N.V. · Technology
$1,775.64
+45.0% upside to fair value
Grade B
High Quality
VS
Nebius Group N.V. · Technology
$218.99
+11.9% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade C+
QuantHub Verdict
ASML has more upside to fair value
(+45.0%).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
ASML |
NBIS |
| Current Price |
$1,775.64 |
$218.99 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$2,574.68 |
$245.00 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+45.0%
|
+11.9%
|
| Market Cap |
$684.4B |
$52.6B |
| Forward P/E |
62.1x
|
—
|
| EV / EBITDA |
47.1x
|
—
|
| Price / Sales |
18.4x
|
59.9x
|
| Price / FCF |
69.1x
|
—
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+13.2%
|
+684.0%
|
| Gross Margin |
52.6%
|
48.0%
|
| Operating Margin |
34.8%
|
-68.8%
|
| Return on Equity |
52.0%
|
—
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
1.45%
|
-4.7%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Buy
|
Investment Thesis
ASML Holding N.V. is a leading semiconductor equipment manufacturer specializing in photolithography systems critical for chip production. The company exhibits high business quality with a durable competitive moat supported by advanced technology and strong market position, reflected in a 52% return on equity and robust margins including a 52.6% gross margin and 29.7% net margin. Despite strong r…
Nebius Group is a fast-scaling neocloud GPU infrastructure provider spun out of Yandex's international assets, positioned at the center of the AI compute buildout with a validated capital relationship to Nvidia, which holds a 9.3% stake following a $2 billion investment. Revenue grew 684% year over year in Q1 2026 to $399 million, core AI cloud ARR reached $1.92 billion, and the company has locke…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
ASML |
NBIS |
| Zone Low |
$1,931.01 |
$184.00 |
| Zone High |
$2,188.48 |
$208.00 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
No
|