ASML vs MSFT: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of ASML Holding N.V. and Microsoft Corporation โ€” fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-07-15.
ASML Holding N.V. ยท Technology
$1,775.64
+45.0% upside to fair value
Grade B High Quality
VS
Microsoft Corporation ยท Technology
$379.40
+45.0% upside to fair value
Grade A High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
MSFT trades at a lower forward P/E (22.5x). These are model outputs โ€” not personalized investment advice. See all research โ†’
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric ASML MSFT
Current Price $1,775.64 $379.40
Fair Value Estimate $2,574.68 $550.13
Upside to Fair Value +45.0% +45.0%
Market Cap $684.4B $2,818.3B
Forward P/E 62.1x 22.5x
EV / EBITDA 47.1x 14.2x
Price / Sales 18.4x 8.9x
Price / FCF 69.1x 38.6x
Revenue Growth YoY +13.2% +18.3%
Gross Margin 52.6% 68.3%
Operating Margin 34.8% 46.8%
Return on Equity 52.0% 33.1%
Dividend Yield 0% 0%
FCF Yield 1.45% 2.59%
Analyst Consensus Strong Buy Strong Buy
Investment Thesis
ASML โ€” ASML Holding N.V.
ASML Holding N.V. is a leading semiconductor equipment manufacturer specializing in photolithography systems critical for chip production. The company exhibits high business quality with a durable competitive moat supported by advanced technology and strong market position, reflected in a 52% return on equity and robust margins including a 52.6% gross margin and 29.7% net margin. Despite strong rโ€ฆ
MSFT โ€” Microsoft Corporation
Microsoft Corporation is a leading global technology company specializing in cloud computing, productivity software, and enterprise platforms. The company benefits from a very strong and widening competitive moat supported by scale, switching costs, an integrated ecosystem, and disciplined capital allocation including large buybacks and dividends. Its business quality is high, demonstrated by a 3โ€ฆ
Accumulation Zones
Metric ASML MSFT
Zone Low $1,931.01 $412.60
Zone High $2,188.48 $467.61
In Buy Zone? Yes Yes
โ† ASML Research    MSFT Research โ†’    All Research