ASML vs MS: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of ASML Holding N.V. and Morgan Stanley β€” fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-04-22.
ASML Holding N.V. Β· Technology
$1,458.97
+65.1% upside to fair value
Grade B High Quality
VS
Morgan Stanley Β· Financial Services
$189.30
-30.5% upside to fair value
Grade C High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
ASML has more upside to fair value (+65.1%). MS trades at a lower forward P/E (16.4x). These are model outputs β€” not personalized investment advice. See all research β†’
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric ASML MS
Current Price $1,458.97 $189.30
Fair Value Estimate $2,408.73 $131.49
Upside to Fair Value +65.1% -30.5%
Market Cap $562.3B $300.6B
Forward P/E 48.3x 16.4x
EV / EBITDA 37.6x 24.4x
Price / Sales 14.4x 2.5x
Price / FCF 54.4x -16.8x
Revenue Growth YoY +13.2% +18.8%
Gross Margin 52.6% 58.0%
Operating Margin 34.8% 19.5%
Return on Equity 52.0% 16.7%
Dividend Yield 0% 0%
FCF Yield 1.84% β€”
Analyst Consensus Strong Buy Hold
Investment Thesis
ASML β€” ASML Holding N.V.
ASML Holding N.V. is a leading technology company specializing in semiconductor manufacturing equipment, particularly extreme ultraviolet lithography machines which hold a near-monopoly position. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat driven by its technological leadership, high barriers to entry, and strong demand from semiconductor manufacturers globally, especially in China. Desp…
MS β€” Morgan Stanley
Morgan Stanley is a leading global financial services firm operating in Institutional Securities, Wealth Management, and Investment Management. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat supported by its systemically important status, diversified revenue streams, and strong management with a 36-year veteran CEO. Despite solid fundamentals including 14.2% revenue growth in 2025 and 16.7%…
Accumulation Zones
Metric ASML MS
Zone Low $1,806.55 $98.62
Zone High $2,047.42 $111.77
In Buy Zone? Yes No
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