ASML vs MRK: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of ASML Holding N.V. and Merck & Co., Inc. β€” fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-04-22.
ASML Holding N.V. Β· Technology
$1,458.97
+65.1% upside to fair value
Grade B High Quality
VS
Merck & Co., Inc. Β· Healthcare
$119.07
-4.0% upside to fair value
Grade D High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
ASML has more upside to fair value (+65.1%). MRK trades at a lower forward P/E (16.2x). These are model outputs β€” not personalized investment advice. See all research β†’
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric ASML MRK
Current Price $1,458.97 $119.07
Fair Value Estimate $2,408.73 $114.30
Upside to Fair Value +65.1% -4.0%
Market Cap $562.3B $294.4B
Forward P/E 48.3x 16.2x
EV / EBITDA 37.6x 12.6x
Price / Sales 14.4x 4.5x
Price / FCF 54.4x 23.8x
Revenue Growth YoY +13.2% +5.0%
Gross Margin 52.6% 81.5%
Operating Margin 34.8% 41.2%
Return on Equity 52.0% 36.2%
Dividend Yield 0% 0%
FCF Yield 1.84% 4.2%
Analyst Consensus Strong Buy Hold
Investment Thesis
ASML β€” ASML Holding N.V.
ASML Holding N.V. is a leading technology company specializing in semiconductor manufacturing equipment, particularly extreme ultraviolet lithography machines which hold a near-monopoly position. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat driven by its technological leadership, high barriers to entry, and strong demand from semiconductor manufacturers globally, especially in China. Desp…
MRK β€” Merck & Co., Inc.
Merck & Co., Inc. is a leading global healthcare company specializing in pharmaceuticals, particularly oncology and vaccines. The company benefits from a strong business quality characterized by a durable competitive moat, high gross margins of 81.5%, and a robust return on equity of 36.2%. Despite these strengths, the stock is currently fairly valued but slightly overvalued by 4% relative to its…
Accumulation Zones
Metric ASML MRK
Zone Low $1,806.55 $85.72
Zone High $2,047.42 $97.16
In Buy Zone? Yes No
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