ASML vs MCD: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ASML Holding N.V. and McDonald's Corporation — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-04-22.
ASML Holding N.V. · Technology
$1,458.97
+65.1% upside to fair value
Grade B
High Quality
VS
McDonald's Corporation · Consumer Cyclical
$305.68
+4.7% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B
QuantHub Verdict
ASML has more upside to fair value
(+65.1%).
MCD trades at a lower forward P/E
(24.5x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
ASML |
MCD |
| Current Price |
$1,458.97 |
$305.68 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$2,408.73 |
$320.00 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+65.1%
|
+4.7%
|
| Market Cap |
$562.3B |
$218.1B |
| Forward P/E |
48.3x
|
24.5x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
37.6x
|
18.6x
|
| Price / Sales |
14.4x
|
8.1x
|
| Price / FCF |
54.4x
|
30.3x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+13.2%
|
+3.7%
|
| Gross Margin |
52.6%
|
57.4%
|
| Operating Margin |
34.8%
|
46.1%
|
| Return on Equity |
52.0%
|
—
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
2.4% |
| FCF Yield |
1.84%
|
3.3%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Buy
|
Investment Thesis
ASML Holding N.V. is a leading technology company specializing in semiconductor manufacturing equipment, particularly extreme ultraviolet lithography machines which hold a near-monopoly position. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat driven by its technological leadership, high barriers to entry, and strong demand from semiconductor manufacturers globally, especially in China. Desp…
McDonald's operates the world's largest quick-service restaurant franchise with over 40,000 locations across 100+ countries, generating $26.9B in FY2025 revenue with roughly 60% from franchised operations. The asset-light franchise model produces 46% operating margins and $7.2B in annual free cash flow. Revenue growth reaccelerated modestly to 3.7% in FY2025 from 1.7% in FY2024, driven by the Int…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
ASML |
MCD |
| Zone Low |
$1,806.55 |
$240.00 |
| Zone High |
$2,047.42 |
$272.00 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
No
|