ASML vs MA: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ASML Holding N.V. and Mastercard Incorporated — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-04-22.
ASML Holding N.V. · Technology
$1,458.97
+65.1% upside to fair value
Grade B
High Quality
VS
Mastercard Incorporated · Financial Services
$521.30
+95.4% upside to fair value
Grade B
High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
MA has more upside to fair value
(+95.4%).
MA trades at a lower forward P/E
(31.2x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
ASML |
MA |
| Current Price |
$1,458.97 |
$521.30 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$2,408.73 |
$1,018.59 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+65.1%
|
+95.4%
|
| Market Cap |
$562.3B |
$465.2B |
| Forward P/E |
48.3x
|
31.2x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
37.6x
|
23.4x
|
| Price / Sales |
14.4x
|
14.2x
|
| Price / FCF |
54.4x
|
27.2x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+13.2%
|
+17.6%
|
| Gross Margin |
52.6%
|
83.4%
|
| Operating Margin |
34.8%
|
59.2%
|
| Return on Equity |
52.0%
|
198.4%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
1.84%
|
3.67%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Strong Buy
|
Investment Thesis
ASML Holding N.V. is a leading technology company specializing in semiconductor manufacturing equipment, particularly extreme ultraviolet lithography machines which hold a near-monopoly position. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat driven by its technological leadership, high barriers to entry, and strong demand from semiconductor manufacturers globally, especially in China. Desp…
Mastercard Incorporated operates a leading global payments network and value-added services platform, benefiting from strong secular growth in digital payments and cybersecurity. The company exhibits high business quality with a durable competitive moat supported by network effects, brand strength, and intangible assets. It has demonstrated robust earnings growth with a 21.5% increase in the most…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
ASML |
MA |
| Zone Low |
$1,806.55 |
$763.94 |
| Zone High |
$2,047.42 |
$865.80 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
Yes
|