ASML vs LLY: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ASML Holding N.V. and Eli Lilly and Company — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-07-17.
ASML Holding N.V. · Technology
$1,775.64
+45.0% upside to fair value
Grade B
High Quality
VS
Eli Lilly and Company · Healthcare
$1,179.09
+31.7% upside to fair value
High Conviction
Grade A
High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
ASML has more upside to fair value
(+45.0%).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
ASML |
LLY |
| Current Price |
$1,775.64 |
$1,179.09 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$2,574.68 |
$1,552.32 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+45.0%
|
+31.7%
|
| Market Cap |
$684.4B |
$1,110.4B |
| Forward P/E |
62.1x
|
—
|
| EV / EBITDA |
47.1x
|
34.3x
|
| Price / Sales |
18.4x
|
14.6x
|
| Price / FCF |
69.1x
|
77.7x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+13.2%
|
+55.5%
|
| Gross Margin |
52.6%
|
83.5%
|
| Operating Margin |
34.8%
|
45.9%
|
| Return on Equity |
52.0%
|
101.3%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
0.55% |
| FCF Yield |
1.45%
|
1.29%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Strong Buy
|
Investment Thesis
ASML Holding N.V. is a leading semiconductor equipment manufacturer specializing in photolithography systems critical for chip production. The company exhibits high business quality with a durable competitive moat supported by advanced technology and strong market position, reflected in a 52% return on equity and robust margins including a 52.6% gross margin and 29.7% net margin. Despite strong r…
Eli Lilly is a global biopharma company whose exceptionally profitable cardiometabolic franchises, led by Mounjaro and Zepbound, are driving a high-quality growth phase: revenue rose 55.5% year over year and earnings rose 168.0% year over year in the most recent quarter, while gross, operating, and net margins were 83.5%, 45.9%, and 35.0%, respectively. Business quality is high because tirzepatid…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
ASML |
LLY |
| Zone Low |
$1,931.01 |
$1,164.24 |
| Zone High |
$2,188.48 |
$1,319.47 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
Yes
|