ASML vs HON: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of ASML Holding N.V. and Honeywell International Inc. β€” fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-04-22.
ASML Holding N.V. Β· Technology
$1,458.97
+65.1% upside to fair value
Grade B High Quality
VS
Honeywell International Inc. Β· Industrials
$235.04
-9.9% upside to fair value
Med Conviction Grade B
QuantHub Verdict
ASML has more upside to fair value (+65.1%). HON trades at a lower forward P/E (22.3x). These are model outputs β€” not personalized investment advice. See all research β†’
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric ASML HON
Current Price $1,458.97 $235.04
Fair Value Estimate $2,408.73 $211.73
Upside to Fair Value +65.1% -9.9%
Market Cap $562.3B $149.4B
Forward P/E 48.3x 22.3x
EV / EBITDA 37.6x 16.9x
Price / Sales 14.4x 4.0x
Price / FCF 54.4x 27.7x
Revenue Growth YoY +13.2% -2.7%
Gross Margin 52.6% 36.9%
Operating Margin 34.8% 17.7%
Return on Equity 52.0% 33.28%
Dividend Yield 0% 1.92%
FCF Yield 1.84% 3.61%
Analyst Consensus Strong Buy Buy
Investment Thesis
ASML β€” ASML Holding N.V.
ASML Holding N.V. is a leading technology company specializing in semiconductor manufacturing equipment, particularly extreme ultraviolet lithography machines which hold a near-monopoly position. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat driven by its technological leadership, high barriers to entry, and strong demand from semiconductor manufacturers globally, especially in China. Desp…
HON β€” Honeywell International Inc.
Honeywell is a diversified industrial conglomerate in the final stages of a transformative three-way separation into Honeywell Aerospace, Solstice Advanced Materials, and a retained Automation entity, targeting Q3 2026 completion. The business generated 33% ROE and $5.4B in free cash flow on $37.4B revenue in FY2025, supported by a record $37B backlog with 23% organic order growth in Q4. At $235 …
Accumulation Zones
Metric ASML HON
Zone Low $1,806.55 $158.80
Zone High $2,047.42 $179.97
In Buy Zone? Yes No
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