ASML vs GOOG: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of ASML Holding N.V. and Alphabet Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-04-22.
ASML Holding N.V. · Technology
$1,458.97
+65.1% upside to fair value
Grade B High Quality
VS
Alphabet Inc. · Communication Services
$339.40
-4.4% upside to fair value
Grade D High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
ASML has more upside to fair value (+65.1%). GOOG trades at a lower forward P/E (31.2x). These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice. See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric ASML GOOG
Current Price $1,458.97 $339.40
Fair Value Estimate $2,408.73 $324.34
Upside to Fair Value +65.1% -4.4%
Market Cap $562.3B $4,105.7B
Forward P/E 48.3x 31.2x
EV / EBITDA 37.6x 23.1x
Price / Sales 14.4x 10.3x
Price / FCF 54.4x 56.4x
Revenue Growth YoY +13.2% +11.3%
Gross Margin 52.6% 59.7%
Operating Margin 34.8% 32.0%
Return on Equity 52.0% 35.0%
Dividend Yield 0% 0%
FCF Yield 1.84% 1.77%
Analyst Consensus Strong Buy Strong Buy
Investment Thesis
ASML — ASML Holding N.V.
ASML Holding N.V. is a leading technology company specializing in semiconductor manufacturing equipment, particularly extreme ultraviolet lithography machines which hold a near-monopoly position. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat driven by its technological leadership, high barriers to entry, and strong demand from semiconductor manufacturers globally, especially in China. Desp…
GOOG — Alphabet Inc.
Alphabet Inc. operates as a global leader in internet content, advertising, cloud computing, and AI technologies, with dominant market positions in search, browser, and mobile operating systems. The company benefits from a high-quality business model characterized by a durable competitive moat, strong revenue growth of 11.3% year-over-year, and robust profitability with net margins of 32.8%. Desp…
Accumulation Zones
Metric ASML GOOG
Zone Low $1,806.55 $243.25
Zone High $2,047.42 $275.69
In Buy Zone? Yes No
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