ASML vs COST: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ASML Holding N.V. and Costco Wholesale Corporation — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-04-22.
ASML Holding N.V. · Technology
$1,458.97
+65.1% upside to fair value
Grade B
High Quality
VS
Costco Wholesale Corporation · Consumer Defensive
$999.89
-19.1% upside to fair value
Grade D
High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
ASML has more upside to fair value
(+65.1%).
ASML trades at a lower forward P/E
(48.3x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
ASML |
COST |
| Current Price |
$1,458.97 |
$999.89 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$2,408.73 |
$808.71 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+65.1%
|
-19.1%
|
| Market Cap |
$562.3B |
$443.6B |
| Forward P/E |
48.3x
|
51.9x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
37.6x
|
30.9x
|
| Price / Sales |
14.4x
|
1.6x
|
| Price / FCF |
54.4x
|
48.8x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+13.2%
|
+9.2%
|
| Gross Margin |
52.6%
|
12.9%
|
| Operating Margin |
34.8%
|
3.8%
|
| Return on Equity |
52.0%
|
28.8%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
1.84%
|
2.05%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Buy
|
Investment Thesis
ASML Holding N.V. is a leading technology company specializing in semiconductor manufacturing equipment, particularly extreme ultraviolet lithography machines which hold a near-monopoly position. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat driven by its technological leadership, high barriers to entry, and strong demand from semiconductor manufacturers globally, especially in China. Desp…
Costco Wholesale Corporation operates a global membership-based warehouse club model that leverages scale, low costs, and superior employee retention to deliver consistent revenue and earnings growth. The company reported $269.9 billion in net sales for fiscal 2025 with an 8% year-over-year increase, driven by strong segments in Foods and Sundries and membership fees exceeding $5.65 billion in th…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
ASML |
COST |
| Zone Low |
$1,806.55 |
$606.53 |
| Zone High |
$2,047.42 |
$687.40 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
No
|