ASML vs COP: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ASML Holding N.V. and ConocoPhillips — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-07-15.
ASML Holding N.V. · Technology
$1,775.64
+45.0% upside to fair value
Grade B
High Quality
VS
ConocoPhillips · Energy
$108.44
-21.6% upside to fair value
Grade D
QuantHub Verdict
ASML has more upside to fair value
(+45.0%).
COP trades at a lower forward P/E
(18.4x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
ASML |
COP |
| Current Price |
$1,775.64 |
$108.44 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$2,574.68 |
$85.04 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+45.0%
|
-21.6%
|
| Market Cap |
$684.4B |
$132.1B |
| Forward P/E |
62.1x
|
18.4x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
47.1x
|
6.1x
|
| Price / Sales |
18.4x
|
2.3x
|
| Price / FCF |
69.1x
|
8.6x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+13.2%
|
-2.5%
|
| Gross Margin |
52.6%
|
29.2%
|
| Operating Margin |
34.8%
|
18.3%
|
| Return on Equity |
52.0%
|
11.3%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
1.45%
|
11.64%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Strong Buy
|
Investment Thesis
ASML Holding N.V. is a leading semiconductor equipment manufacturer specializing in photolithography systems critical for chip production. The company exhibits high business quality with a durable competitive moat supported by advanced technology and strong market position, reflected in a 52% return on equity and robust margins including a 52.6% gross margin and 29.7% net margin. Despite strong r…
ConocoPhillips is a major player in the Energy sector focused on Oil & Gas Exploration & Production. The company demonstrates medium business quality with a stable competitive position but faces earnings pressure as reflected in a 23.4% decline in earnings and a 2.5% decline in revenue in the most recent quarter year-over-year. Despite a solid ROE of 11.3% and attractive margins (gross margin 29.…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
ASML |
COP |
| Zone Low |
$1,931.01 |
$63.78 |
| Zone High |
$2,188.48 |
$72.28 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
No
|