ASML vs COP: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ASML Holding N.V. and ConocoPhillips — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-09-24.
ASML Holding N.V. · Technology
$1,744.61
-0.7% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade C
High Quality
VS
ConocoPhillips · Energy
$127.53
+32.1% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B
QuantHub Verdict
COP has more upside to fair value
(+32.1%).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
ASML |
COP |
| Current Price |
$1,744.61 |
$127.53 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$1,732.49 |
$168.50 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-0.7%
|
+32.1%
|
| Market Cap |
$672.4B |
$155.4B |
| Forward P/E |
—
|
—
|
| EV / EBITDA |
42.0x
|
6.2x
|
| Price / Sales |
19.0x
|
2.5x
|
| Price / FCF |
67.2x
|
7.9x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+21.3%
|
+36.8%
|
| Gross Margin |
52.7%
|
27.7%
|
| Operating Margin |
35.4%
|
21.9%
|
| Return on Equity |
52.4%
|
14.3%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0.51% |
2.63% |
| FCF Yield |
1.49%
|
12.66%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Buy
|
Strong Buy
|
Investment Thesis
ASML Holding N.V. is the Dutch semiconductor equipment maker that supplies lithography, metrology, and inspection systems, including the extreme ultraviolet (EUV) machines required to pattern the most advanced logic and memory chips, and it holds what current coverage describes as a near-monopoly on those EUV tools. The business quality is genuinely high: TTM gross margin of 52.7%, TTM operating …
ConocoPhillips is a global exploration and production company with a portfolio spanning unconventional North American shale, conventional international assets, LNG ventures, and Canadian oil sands, run by a new leadership team after Andy O'Brien became CEO on September 1, 2026. The business quality is medium: it generates substantial cash, with $16.15 in free cash flow per share and a 14.3% retur…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
ASML |
COP |
| Zone Low |
$1,299.37 |
$126.38 |
| Zone High |
$1,472.62 |
$143.22 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
Yes
|