ASML vs COP: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ASML Holding N.V. and ConocoPhillips — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-05-01.
ASML Holding N.V. · Technology
$1,458.97
+45.0% upside to fair value
Grade B
High Quality
VS
ConocoPhillips · Energy
$125.78
-2.1% upside to fair value
Grade C
QuantHub Verdict
ASML has more upside to fair value
(+45.0%).
COP trades at a lower forward P/E
(21.0x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
ASML |
COP |
| Current Price |
$1,458.97 |
$125.78 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$2,115.51 |
$123.15 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+45.0%
|
-2.1%
|
| Market Cap |
$562.3B |
$153.3B |
| Forward P/E |
48.3x
|
21.0x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
37.6x
|
7.5x
|
| Price / Sales |
14.4x
|
2.6x
|
| Price / FCF |
54.4x
|
8.4x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+13.2%
|
-2.5%
|
| Gross Margin |
52.6%
|
33.1%
|
| Operating Margin |
34.8%
|
25.4%
|
| Return on Equity |
52.0%
|
11.3%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
1.84%
|
11.96%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Strong Buy
|
Investment Thesis
ASML Holding N.V. is a leading technology company specializing in semiconductor manufacturing equipment, particularly extreme ultraviolet lithography machines which hold a near-monopoly position. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat driven by its technological leadership, high barriers to entry, and strong demand from semiconductor manufacturers globally, especially in China. Desp…
ConocoPhillips is a leading independent oil and gas exploration and production company with a strong focus on low-cost shale assets and sustainability initiatives. The company benefits from a durable competitive position due to its cost advantage and early ESG leadership, but faces near-term earnings pressure as revenue declined 2.5% and earnings fell 23.4% in the most recent quarter year-over-ye…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
ASML |
COP |
| Zone Low |
$1,586.63 |
$92.36 |
| Zone High |
$1,798.18 |
$104.68 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
No
|