ASML vs COP: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ASML Holding N.V. and ConocoPhillips — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-04-22.
ASML Holding N.V. · Technology
$1,458.97
+65.1% upside to fair value
Grade B
High Quality
VS
ConocoPhillips · Energy
$122.55
-21.4% upside to fair value
Grade D
QuantHub Verdict
ASML has more upside to fair value
(+65.1%).
COP trades at a lower forward P/E
(19.3x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
ASML |
COP |
| Current Price |
$1,458.97 |
$122.55 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$2,408.73 |
$96.36 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+65.1%
|
-21.4%
|
| Market Cap |
$562.3B |
$149.8B |
| Forward P/E |
48.3x
|
19.3x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
37.6x
|
5.8x
|
| Price / Sales |
14.4x
|
2.5x
|
| Price / FCF |
54.4x
|
8.9x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+13.2%
|
+7.5%
|
| Gross Margin |
52.6%
|
24.6%
|
| Operating Margin |
34.8%
|
19.6%
|
| Return on Equity |
52.0%
|
12.39%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
3.41% |
| FCF Yield |
1.84%
|
10.9%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Buy
|
Investment Thesis
ASML Holding N.V. is a leading technology company specializing in semiconductor manufacturing equipment, particularly extreme ultraviolet lithography machines which hold a near-monopoly position. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat driven by its technological leadership, high barriers to entry, and strong demand from semiconductor manufacturers globally, especially in China. Desp…
ConocoPhillips is the largest U.S. independent exploration and production company, operating approximately 2.4 million barrels of oil equivalent per day across its Lower 48, Alaska, Canada, and international segments. The company completed its transformative $22.5 billion Marathon Oil acquisition in late 2024 and is on track for $2 billion in cost synergies by the end of 2026. Full-year 2025 reve…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
ASML |
COP |
| Zone Low |
$1,806.55 |
$72.27 |
| Zone High |
$2,047.42 |
$81.91 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
No
|