ASML vs CAT: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ASML Holding N.V. and Caterpillar Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-07-15.
ASML Holding N.V. · Technology
$1,775.64
+45.0% upside to fair value
Grade B
High Quality
VS
Caterpillar Inc. · Industrials
$940.12
-39.4% upside to fair value
Grade C
High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
ASML has more upside to fair value
(+45.0%).
CAT trades at a lower forward P/E
(46.6x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
ASML |
CAT |
| Current Price |
$1,775.64 |
$940.12 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$2,574.68 |
$569.47 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+45.0%
|
-39.4%
|
| Market Cap |
$684.4B |
$433.1B |
| Forward P/E |
62.1x
|
46.6x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
47.1x
|
29.7x
|
| Price / Sales |
18.4x
|
6.1x
|
| Price / FCF |
69.1x
|
37.8x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+13.2%
|
+22.2%
|
| Gross Margin |
52.6%
|
32.5%
|
| Operating Margin |
34.8%
|
16.6%
|
| Return on Equity |
52.0%
|
47.5%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
1.45%
|
2.64%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Hold
|
Investment Thesis
ASML Holding N.V. is a leading semiconductor equipment manufacturer specializing in photolithography systems critical for chip production. The company exhibits high business quality with a durable competitive moat supported by advanced technology and strong market position, reflected in a 52% return on equity and robust margins including a 52.6% gross margin and 29.7% net margin. Despite strong r…
Caterpillar Inc. is a leading global manufacturer of agricultural and construction machinery, operating within the Industrials sector. The company demonstrates high business quality with a durable competitive moat supported by strong brand recognition, cost advantages, and intangible assets. It posted robust revenue growth of 22.2% and earnings growth of 27.3% in the most recent quarter, reflecti…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
ASML |
CAT |
| Zone Low |
$1,931.01 |
$427.10 |
| Zone High |
$2,188.48 |
$484.05 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
No
|