ASML vs CAT: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ASML Holding N.V. and Caterpillar Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-05-13.
ASML Holding N.V. · Technology
$1,458.97
+45.0% upside to fair value
Grade B
High Quality
VS
Caterpillar Inc. · Industrials
$912.14
-47.9% upside to fair value
Grade D
High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
ASML has more upside to fair value
(+45.0%).
CAT trades at a lower forward P/E
(44.9x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
ASML |
CAT |
| Current Price |
$1,458.97 |
$912.14 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$2,115.51 |
$475.00 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+45.0%
|
-47.9%
|
| Market Cap |
$562.3B |
$420.2B |
| Forward P/E |
48.3x
|
44.9x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
37.6x
|
30.0x
|
| Price / Sales |
14.4x
|
5.9x
|
| Price / FCF |
54.4x
|
36.7x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+13.2%
|
+22.2%
|
| Gross Margin |
52.6%
|
32.5%
|
| Operating Margin |
34.8%
|
16.6%
|
| Return on Equity |
52.0%
|
47.5%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
1.5% |
| FCF Yield |
1.84%
|
2.73%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Hold
|
Investment Thesis
ASML Holding N.V. is a leading technology company specializing in semiconductor manufacturing equipment, particularly extreme ultraviolet lithography machines which hold a near-monopoly position. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat driven by its technological leadership, high barriers to entry, and strong demand from semiconductor manufacturers globally, especially in China. Desp…
Caterpillar is the world's leading manufacturer of construction and mining equipment, with diversified revenue across Construction Industries, Resource Industries, Energy & Transportation, and Cat Financial. Q1 2026 results reported April 30 showed revenue of $17.4 billion (+22.2% YoY) and EPS of $5.50 (+30.3% YoY), driven by powerful demand from data center build-outs (large engine and power gen…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
ASML |
CAT |
| Zone Low |
$1,586.63 |
$356.00 |
| Zone High |
$1,798.18 |
$404.00 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
No
|